Bouncing Back
Macro Strategy Review for July 2014
Written by Jim Welsh, with David martin and Jim O'Donnell, Forward Markets
U.S. Economy
As expected, the U.S. economy has bounced back nicely in the second quarter after an especially dismal first quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that gross domestic product (GDP) fell [-2.9%] in the first quarter after revising its second estimate of a [-1.0%] contraction.
The Fed is Already Creating the Next Bubble
by Edward Harrison, Credit Writedowns
Last week, I wrote a fairly comprehensive piece laying out some of the macro issues around the Fed and other central banks' ultra-easy monetary policy. The gist of that piece was that, due to the political economy, monetary policy is now seen by policy makers as a good way to 'steer' the cyclical economy through peaks and troughs. Fiscal policy, while used effectively during the depths of crisis in 2008 and 2009, is largely off the table.
Is Coffee Good For You
Over 400 billion cups of coffee are drunk globally each year, so it's important to establish what impact coffee has on our health.
Weekend Market Commentary: Special Edition
Weekend Market Commentary 'The Straw That Will Break The Camels Back'
UPDATED: 0900 EST 2014-07-12
The talk this week is about an overdue correction that could happen at anytime - only it hasn't - YET! According to some we haven't had a 'meaningful correction in several years and we are really due for one now. Is this correction talk different this time? Yes and here is why.
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What We Read Today 12 July 2014
Econintersect: Every day our editors collect the most interesting things they find from around the internet and present a summary "reading list" which will include very brief summaries of why each item has gotten our attention. Suggestions from readers for "reading list" items are gratefully reviewed, although sometimes space limits the number included.
- Highway Fatality Rates Quadruple In US Oil Boom States (Meagan Clark, International Business Times, Investing.com) North Dakota and Texas have not been able to keep up with the heavy machinery and truck traffic over their highways which are deteriorating as a result. This is part of the contribution to soaring highway traffic fatalities, which are up four-fold in the past 10 years.
Can We Blame Obamacare for Poor Part time Jobs Growth?
Written by Steven Hansen
When it comes to employment statistics, it is pretty easy to prove any opinion. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) obliges our need for data by using two very different methodologies for compiling the monthly employment situation - the household survey vs. the establishment survey.
Read more >>
The Rise of Monetary Cranks and Fixing What Ain't Broke
Something is Rotten in the State of Denmark
by L. Randall Wray, New Economic Perspectives
Horatio: He waxes desperate with imagination.
Marcellus: Let's follow. 'Tis not fit thus to obey him.
Horatio: Have after. To what issue will this come?
Marcellus: Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.
Horatio: Heaven will direct it.
Marcellus: Nay, let's follow him.
Hamlet Act 1, scene 4
How Japan Stabilizes its Economy in Just One Graph
by Dirk Ehnts, Econoblog101
The amazing fiscal data of 40 years of Japanese history has been put on one very readable graph. The peak of the Japanese bubble in 1991 is starkly evident and the growing build of deficit financing since then looks quite orderly, except for a sharp break during the Great Financial Crisis. This is a flight pattern for the John Mauldin "bug".
ISIS Does Not Have Enough Public Support to Extend its Caliphate in Iraq
by Paul Rogers, The Conversation
After a month of fighting in Iraq, the ISIS insurgency has made considerable progress, even if there is now something of a stalemate as Shi'a militias organise themselves and the weak Iraqi Army gets a measure of support from Russia, the United States and especially Iran. Even so, the change in the country since the beginning of June has been startling, with ISIS now able to extend its territorial control right across much of north-eastern Syria and north-western Iraq.
If You Want America's Best Paid Jobs, Go to Med School
from Felix Richter, Statista.com
by Niall McCarthy
Health care professionals are extremely well paid in the United States and dominate the country's best-paid jobs.
Investing.com Weekly Wrap-Up 11 July 2014
U.S. stocks up on earnings, waning Portugal fears; Dow rises 0.17%
by Investing.com Staff, Investing.com
U.S. stocks rose on Friday on upbeat earnings from Wells Fargo, while hopes Portugal's financial system remains sound also boosted stock prices.
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At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow 30 rose 0.17%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.15%, while the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.44%.
SEC, Massachusetts U.S. Attorney, and FBI Charge Five with Attempted Manipulation of Microcap Company
from the Securities and Exchange Commission
The Securities and Exchange Commission, the U.S. Attorney for the District of Massachusetts, and the Federal Bureau of Investigation today announced charges against five individuals whose attempt to manipulate shares of Boston-based Amogear Inc. was caught by an FBI undercover operation.
Infographic of the Day: The Benefits of a Private School Education
According to the infographic, students who attend private schools are more likely than their public school peers to earn a bachelor's or advanced degree by the time they are in their mid-twenties.